For an introduction, I have a B.A. in Biology, and I am appalled at the idea that Sara Palin coming anywhere CLOSE to the presidency of the United States of America. The problem is, in politics people's opinions don't always come from the use of logic. Although I see this more often in those who lean to the Right, I've seen it many many times on the Left as well. This being the case, I feel that if I am to dislike a political figure, I ought to be able to give an answer as to why I have a problem, since I'll demand an answer as to why someone doesn't.
The first thing I heard about Sara Palin was that she was governor of Alaska, that she did not believe that global warming was a human problem, and that she supports the concept of Intelligent Design. While I am not an expert on her and her opinions, a brief web search shows that this introduction to her was accurate. So what's my problem? Why does this bother me?
Currently, Global Warming is an issue in vogue, so I will address that in this essay, and deal with Evolution and Intelligent Design another time. This subject has been a concern since the seventies. For the last thirty years or so, a large number of intelligent people have been carefully studying and analyzing the climate of this planet, and submitting their results to the broader community of scientists for further analysis and critique.
This is how the scientific process works today. It's not just a standard of how to conduct experiments, and analysis, or how to write papers. Every piece of information gathered is examined by people who were not involved in the project. Every result and every experiment must be conducted and published in such a manner that anyone in the world who tried to do the same experiment with the same methods, would get the same result. For a concept to gain standing, all experiments must be reproducible, and must have consistent results every time they are reproduced.
For the last thirty years, thousands of dedicated men and women have been trying their best to get different results, to disprove the theory, and they have not. With any theory, we need people who disagree, otherwise we end up saying the earth is flat and no one blinks an eye. Global Warming, however, has been studied carefully with many people disagreeing and it still hasn't gone away. There is no question that the majority of scientists who have studied this Theory have come up with the same results - Global Warming is a real phenomenon, and it is due to the activities of humans. There are still those who say it is not real, or that it's not human-caused, but they are few, if loud. At this point I should mention that scientists are a curmudgeonly bunch when it comes to new ideas. Getting us to all agree on one thing is harder than you might think, so having a majority supporting an idea is meaningful - it takes more than good speeches and well-designed fliers.
Let us, for a moment, stray to the realm of the Hypothetical. Let us say that you are the ruler of whatever country you call home, and there is an invasion, or a civil war. Someone asks you if you should not just launch a hydrogen bomb at the enemy camp within your territory and have done with it. This is a strategy that would reliably wipe the enemy out and save everyone a lot of hassle. Being a careful leader, you consult the scientists of your country, and the majority of them say that this would be a bad idea, since the land bombed would become radioactive and dangerous to anyone nearby, that the wind would carry that radioactivity to other areas, causing sickness and death for years to come, and problems that would last generations into the future, etc. However, out of the several thousand scientists who say this, about two or three hundred say that this is ridiculous, and those thousand scientists don't know what they're talking about and it'll be a nice place for a garden next year, or that there maybe some localized sickness, but you'd never be sure it was because of the bomb anyway. As a wise leader, what would you do?
Personally, I wouldn't drop the bomb.
So now, in real life, we have a situation in which thousands of scientists are saying that there is a problem with the world, and if we don't act NOW, there will be global consequences. Not only that, but some of these consequences can and have been predicted - Stronger storms and more often, drought in some places, flooding in others, melting ice caps, spread of diseases to new areas - the list goes on. There will also be consequences that go beyond what can be predicted - who knows what will happen to the northern hemisphere when the arctic permafrost has all melted? What would the long-term effect be if the the temperature changes to the point that trees in what is currently temperate forest no longer experience freezes in the winter? There are a lot more of these questions, and I'm sure you can think up a few on your own.
Here we have a situation in which thousands of people who know what they are talking about are telling us that if we don't do something, life as we know it will change, perhaps forever. We also have a few people who are saying that not acting won't be a problem at all, and that doing something could cause economic hardship and the like. Going back to the Nuke scenario, it is much the same. One course of action looks easier, in the short run at least, and has a couple arguments and a few supporters; the other is endorsed by the majority of people who know what they are talking about, and not doing what they say could have catastrophic consequences.
Now let us look again at Sara Palin, someone who has been proposed as a good person to have as Vice President of the most powerful country in the world, and therefore a good person to have as President. This is a person who is ignoring the carefully thought out advice of thousands of scientists on an issue that is likely to have far-reaching and catastrophic consequences. This is a person who a large number of people would be happy to have in control of nuclear bombs. This is a person who is being nominated as someone who should make decisions effecting the lives of billions of people around the world. It is obvious to me that her "executive experience" in Alaska has done very little to prepare her for this. It scares me that so many people are seriously considering her for this position. How can I feel safe knowing that my future may be in the hands of someone who will happily ignore the best and most carefully thought out advice concerning the biggest problem in our time?
Since you have gotten this far into my reasoning, I have an exercise for you. I want you to think carefully about who YOU want as a leader of your country, and then think about WHY you want them. Go past the chemical response that guides you to vote on party lines. Think about the issues, think about what people have said. Think hard about this, no matter WHO you're voting for, because who you support could determine the future of human existence.
Labels: Candidate, Election 2008, Global Warming, Republican, Sara Palin